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It’s time to “prop it like it’s hot” once more.
The last two NFL seasons have been quite lucrative for our player prop picks and bets, as we won 35.07 units last year and 46.33 units the year prior.
Our secret sauce is attacking the alternate yardage Over props, which often times are priced between +500 and +1400.
With that, our combined record is just 122-156 (43.9 percent hit rate) and the return on investment between the two seasons is 30.15 percent.
We hope to keep the incredible results moving in the NFL with more Week 1 NFL player props.
Week 1 NFL player prop picks
Johnny Mundt Under 2.5 receptions (+100, BetMGM) | Under 22.5 receiving yards (-115, DraftKings)
Minnesota’s backup tight end is getting TJ Hockenson-level respect from oddsmakers, but it’s not clear why.
Josh Oliver is listed first on the depth chart. He is more of a blocker and it’s incredibly unclear what his snap counts will look like this season with Hockenson sidelined.
Mundt getting an expectation of three catches is way too much love and is a great Under bet to target.
The Vikings open on the road against the Giants.
Bryce Young over 10.5 rushing yards (-110, Bet365) | 25+ (+350, DraftKing, Bet365)
Bryce Young has to prove he’s a starting-caliber NFL quarterback.
At his best while at Alabama, Young was a running quarterback.
We all know that he’s not big enough to be running consistently at the NFL level, but he doesn’t know that yet judging by his actions late in the season.
Betting on the NFL?
Young was running more than ever to close the campaign, averaging 6.49 yards per attempt and going Over 10.5 rushing yards in three of his last five.
He’ll battle the Saints on Sunday on the road.
