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The Orioles conspicuously open as underdogs in their first go against the Mets at Citi Field, which begins Monday.
The dog days of summer have caused some fatigue for the O’s, who, over the past week, faced some turbulence against the Red Sox — Baltimore split a four-game series versus Boston — and surrendered the AL East lead to the Yankees.
Oddsmakers are also favoring Mets left-hander David Peterson on the mound over the struggling Trevor Rogers, who is 2-11 and hasn’t found better fortunes in his three starts since arriving from Miami in a trade deadline deal.
Rogers harnesses a 7.53 ERA and is barely touching five strikeouts per nine innings since donning the orange and black.
The Mets regained the steering wheel with dominant play against Miami, outscoring the Marlins 13-5 and taking the three-game series with impressively strong starting pitching across the board.
Peterson rides back-to-back wins, in which the Amazins beat up the inferior likes of the A’s and the Rockies by a 9-1 margin in both games, respectively.
Even so, the Mets remain a shaky play for me as bullpen inconsistency has made for coughing up over four earned runs.
Baltimore’s offense still rolls into Queens with more home runs than any other club in the game because of its MLB-leading hard-hit ball percentage (43.2).
A big part of this has been thanks to Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander both having eclipsed the 30-home run mark.
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In the meantime, Francisco Lindor has spearheaded the Mets’ surge, tied with the fourth-most hits over the last 30 days.
Peterson is due for a regression facing the powerful O’s bats.
Rogers’ susceptibility to hard contact (opponents average .323 on balls hit into play), compounded with two top-10 offenses in run production should keep the scoreboard active.
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