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While the Mets have been among MLB’s hottest offenses over the past few months, I believe they’re due to slow down a bit, slashing a just-above-average .233/.300/.442 over the past week.
Conversely, the Twins are heating up at the right time.
With rookie Brooks Lee joining the big-league club and veteran Royce Lewis reentering the lineup, Minnesota boasts one of baseball’s most dangerous, dynamic offenses.
Byron Buxton and Jose Miranda have been borderline unstoppable.
Either way, the Twins will have an easier matchup than the Mets.
Jose Quintana — the Amazin’s starting pitcher for Monday — has become a regular fade candidate of mine due to a major home run problem.
He has allowed 18 homers in 107 innings this year, including five in his past 10 innings pitched, the main driver behind his 4.02 ERA and 5.21 expected ERA.
Conversely, Simeon Woods Richardson — Minnesota’s starting pitcher for Monday — has been a relatively steady force in the Twins’ rotation, keeping his earned run indicators under four (3.27 ERA, 3.77 expected ERA, 3.56 FIP) across 88 innings.
The Twins have won 12 of his 17 starts.
The Twins also have an excellent bullpen (2.8 reliever fWAR, eighth in MLB) and defense (+33 Defensive Runs Saved, ninth in MLB).
They’re an excellent all-around team with a high ceiling in a wide-open American League.
Betting on Baseball?
On Monday, I’m betting Minnesota leverages that talent against Quintana and the Mets.
THE PLAY: Twins ML (+100, FanDuel)
